Confederation Cup Quarter-finals
Global 3-2
Zamalek vs Modern SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
19.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zamalek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
CCF
1 - 2
ZAM
37%
28%
35%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2024 |
GOU
3 - 2
ZAM
37%
28%
35%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
ZAM
0 - 2
ALA
49%
23%
28%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2024 |
ZAM
1 - 0
ELD
74%
17%
9%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
ASS
1 - 2
ZAM
32%
25%
43%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Modern SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
CCF
1 - 2
ZAM
37%
28%
35%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2024 |
ALI
0 - 0
CCF
48%
27%
25%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
CCF
0 - 0
MAS
57%
26%
17%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
CCF
5 - 0
ALH
48%
27%
25%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 2024 |
SMO
1 - 1
CCF
55%
25%
21%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |