CAF Champions League 1/16
Global 6-1
Zamalek vs APR FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.1%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
10.2%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zamalek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2008 |
ITT
1 - 1
ZAM
34%
29%
36%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
ZAM
1 - 0
63%
22%
15%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2008 |
ISM
1 - 0
ZAM
49%
26%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
APR
1 - 2
ZAM
29%
25%
47%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2007 |
PET
1 - 0
ZAM
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
APR FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
APR
1 - 2
ZAM
29%
25%
47%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
MAR
2 - 0
APR
30%
24%
46%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
APR
2 - 0
MAR
66%
19%
15%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
APR
2 - 0
SAI
46%
24%
30%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
SAI
1 - 2
APR
55%
22%
23%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |