Zalgiris Vilnius vs FK Riteriai analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
22.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
3º
7º
7º
10
6º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
30 | 37 |
1º
|
52.5% | |
|
1º
|
30 | 34 |
2º
|
44.5% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 32 |
3º
|
52% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 29 |
4º
|
44% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 26 |
5º
|
37% | |
|
5º
|
20 | 24 |
6º
|
31.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
17 | 22 |
7º
|
32.5% | |
|
8º
|
15 | 19 |
8º
|
51% | |
|
|
9º
|
10 | 17 |
9º
|
84% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 7 |
10º
|
99% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
95.5% | 15% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
4.5% | 84% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 1% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zalgiris Vilnius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2025 |
DAI
0 - 6
ZAL
25%
23%
52%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
BAN
2 - 0
ZAL
36%
26%
38%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2025 |
ZAL
2 - 3
PAN
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
HLI
2 - 1
ZAL
44%
25%
31%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2025 |
ZAL
3 - 0
SUD
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
FK Riteriai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2025 |
KZA
3 - 1
TRA
44%
27%
29%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2025 |
TRA
1 - 2
FAS
40%
24%
36%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
DAI
1 - 1
TRA
31%
27%
42%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
TRA
0 - 1
DTE
57%
24%
19%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2025 |
FAS
2 - 2
TRA
44%
27%
29%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |