Zalgiris Vilnius vs Kauno Žalgiris analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
31%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
79
1º
3º
1º
54
3º
10º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zalgiris Vilnius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
ZAL
1 - 1
HLI
43%
25%
32%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
ZAL
2 - 1
BAN
63%
22%
16%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
SUD
1 - 1
ZAL
17%
25%
58%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
ZAL
2 - 1
DTE
70%
19%
11%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
ZAL
2 - 0
FKT
63%
23%
15%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Kauno Žalgiris
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
KZA
0 - 1
BAN
59%
22%
19%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
KZA
2 - 1
FAS
48%
26%
27%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
FKT
0 - 3
KZA
30%
27%
43%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
HLI
1 - 1
KZA
44%
25%
31%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
KZA
3 - 1
FAS
47%
25%
28%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |