Zalgiris Vilnius vs Kauno Žalgiris analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
31.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
79
1º
3º
1º
54
3º
10º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zalgiris Vilnius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
HLI
0 - 0
ZAL
42%
25%
34%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2024 |
ZAL
2 - 1
PAN
52%
24%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
ZAL
2 - 2
BAN
73%
18%
9%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
SUD
1 - 1
ZAL
17%
24%
59%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
ZAL
4 - 0
DAI
73%
18%
10%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Kauno Žalgiris
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
KZA
2 - 1
FAS
49%
25%
26%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2024 |
GKA
0 - 5
KZA
5%
11%
84%
|
77 | 52 | 25 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2024 |
FKT
3 - 2
KZA
24%
26%
50%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
HLI
0 - 1
KZA
43%
25%
32%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
KZA
0 - 3
BAN
71%
20%
10%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | -1 |