Zalgiris Vilnius vs Kauno Žalgiris analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
22.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
75
2º
6º
2º
59
2º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
87 | 87 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zalgiris Vilnius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
TRA
2 - 6
ZAL
11%
21%
68%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
ZAL
1 - 0
BAN
80%
15%
6%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2023 |
FTC
3 - 0
ZAL
49%
23%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
ZAL
4 - 1
DTE
78%
15%
6%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2023 |
ZAL
0 - 4
FTC
49%
24%
27%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Kauno Žalgiris
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
FAS
3 - 1
KZA
37%
24%
39%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
FAS
1 - 1
KZA
38%
27%
36%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
SUD
2 - 6
KZA
25%
28%
47%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
HLI
1 - 1
KZA
40%
26%
34%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
BFA
0 - 5
KZA
10%
16%
74%
|
71 | 49 | 22 | +1 |