Zalgiris Vilnius vs Sūduva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.6%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20%
12.4%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
79
1º
3º
1º
39
2º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zalgiris Vilnius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
DAI
0 - 1
ZAL
13%
21%
66%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
ZAL
1 - 3
HLI
54%
23%
23%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
ZAL
0 - 2
FKT
76%
15%
9%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
ZAL
1 - 1
DTE
78%
15%
8%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
ZAL
6 - 0
DAI
76%
16%
9%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Sūduva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
SUD
0 - 0
FAS
22%
26%
51%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
SUD
3 - 0
FKJ
42%
27%
32%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
SUD
2 - 0
FSM
38%
25%
37%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
SUD
0 - 0
BFC
47%
26%
27%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
SUD
1 - 1
GKA
53%
23%
25%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | -1 |