Cup Lithuania Quarter-finals
Global 4-2
Zalgiris Vilnius vs Sūduva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
32.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zalgiris Vilnius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
ATL
2 - 1
ZAL
32%
26%
42%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
ZAL
3 - 0
TRA
61%
22%
17%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2014 |
ZAL
3 - 0
FKE
67%
21%
13%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
SUD
1 - 1
ZAL
37%
27%
37%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
FAS
1 - 2
ZAL
20%
25%
56%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Sūduva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2014 |
TRA
1 - 3
SUD
29%
24%
47%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
FAS
2 - 4
SUD
17%
21%
62%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2014 |
MRU
0 - 2
SUD
16%
19%
66%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
SUD
1 - 1
ZAL
37%
27%
37%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
BAN
1 - 3
SUD
14%
21%
65%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |