Intertoto Cup 1/16
Global 1-4
Zalgiris Vilnius vs Örgryte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
40.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zalgiris Vilnius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2003 |
VET
1 - 1
ZAL
42%
26%
32%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2003 |
ATL
2 - 1
ZAL
55%
24%
20%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2003 |
ZAL
0 - 0
FKE
44%
27%
29%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2003 |
VIL
0 - 0
ZAL
37%
25%
38%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2003 |
SUD
2 - 2
ZAL
42%
25%
33%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Örgryte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2003 |
OIF
1 - 2
ORG
28%
25%
47%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2003 |
GIF
0 - 1
ORG
35%
25%
40%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2003 |
ORG
0 - 1
HIF
42%
25%
33%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2003 |
GÖT
5 - 2
ORG
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2003 |
ORG
2 - 0
ORE
51%
24%
25%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |