UCL Qualifying 2nd Round Final
Global 0-1
Zalgiris Vilnius vs Malmö FF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
34.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zalgiris Vilnius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2015 |
MFF
0 - 0
ZAL
49%
25%
26%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2015 |
ZAL
3 - 0
DNM
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2015 |
UUT
0 - 3
ZAL
21%
27%
52%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2015 |
SUD
1 - 2
ZAL
32%
26%
43%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2015 |
KRU
2 - 2
ZAL
22%
26%
52%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Malmö FF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
ORE
1 - 1
MFF
27%
24%
50%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2015 |
MFF
0 - 0
ZAL
49%
25%
26%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2015 |
MFF
2 - 2
ORE
60%
24%
16%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2015 |
MFF
1 - 0
SLI
47%
25%
28%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2015 |
NOR
3 - 1
MFF
31%
24%
45%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | -1 |