UCL Qualifying Second Round Final
Global 3-5
Zalgiris Vilnius vs Ludogorets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
28.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zalgiris Vilnius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2017 |
BAT
1 - 1
ZAL
42%
25%
33%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2017 |
ZAL
3 - 1
GÖT
40%
25%
35%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2017 |
ZAL
1 - 0
ATL
60%
22%
18%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2017 |
LIE
1 - 2
ZAL
14%
21%
65%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2017 |
ZAL
3 - 0
ATL
58%
23%
19%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Ludogorets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2017 |
LUD
2 - 0
TER
39%
27%
34%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2017 |
DIN
3 - 1
LUD
51%
25%
25%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2017 |
LUD
1 - 0
CSU
51%
25%
25%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2017 |
OLP
1 - 1
LUD
66%
19%
15%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2017 |
ZEN
0 - 1
LUD
68%
19%
13%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |