Intertoto Cup 1/16
Global 2-0
Zalgiris Vilnius vs Lisburn Distillery analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
25.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zalgiris Vilnius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2005 |
ZAL
0 - 4
FKE
40%
27%
33%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2005 |
ATL
2 - 2
ZAL
55%
25%
20%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2005 |
NEV
0 - 2
ZAL
17%
25%
58%
|
71 | 49 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2005 |
ZAL
1 - 0
VET
45%
27%
28%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2005 |
SIL
1 - 0
ZAL
43%
27%
30%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
LIS
3 - 1
LOU
73%
17%
10%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
NEW
0 - 0
LIS
32%
27%
42%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
LIS
2 - 1
LAR
69%
19%
12%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
LIS
3 - 2
INS
61%
22%
17%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2005 |
ARD
0 - 1
LIS
27%
27%
46%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |