Zalgiris Vilnius vs Siauliai analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
33.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
3º
8º
5º
32
1º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 58 |
1º
|
77% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 54 |
2º
|
48.5% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 52 |
3º
|
40% | |
|
|
4º
|
32 | 46 |
4º
|
51% | |
|
|
6º
|
25 | 42 |
5º
|
38% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 39 |
6º
|
23% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 36 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 34 |
8º
|
50% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 24 |
9º
|
74.5% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 18 |
10º
|
82.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 1% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
5.5% | 25% |
|
Mid-table
|
94% | 74% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zalgiris Vilnius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2025 |
DTE
1 - 1
ZAL
31%
27%
43%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
ZAL
1 - 1
DAI
67%
20%
14%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2025 |
ZAL
2 - 4
KZA
47%
24%
30%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
KZA
3 - 0
ZAL
37%
27%
36%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2025 |
ZAL
2 - 0
TRA
54%
24%
23%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Siauliai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
FAS
2 - 1
PAN
40%
27%
33%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2025 |
BAN
0 - 1
FAS
35%
24%
41%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2025 |
KZA
3 - 0
FAS
38%
27%
36%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
FAS
3 - 0
BAN
46%
27%
27%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
DAI
1 - 2
FAS
25%
25%
50%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |