Zalgiris Vilnius vs Siauliai analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
21.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
75
2º
6º
2º
62
2º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
87 | 87 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zalgiris Vilnius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2023 |
ZAL
2 - 1
PAN
44%
26%
30%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2023 |
KZA
3 - 0
ZAL
32%
25%
43%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -2 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
SUD
2 - 1
ZAL
17%
25%
58%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
ZAL
2 - 1
KZA
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
AFK
0 - 6
ZAL
3%
9%
88%
|
78 | 10 | 68 | 0 |
Matches
Siauliai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2023 |
BEN
0 - 2
FAS
14%
18%
68%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
FAS
2 - 0
DAI
61%
23%
17%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
FAS
0 - 0
PAN
35%
27%
38%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
HLI
2 - 3
FAS
45%
26%
29%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
FAS
2 - 1
DAI
64%
20%
16%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |