Zalgiris Vilnius vs FK Panevėžys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
27.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
3º
8º
5º
25
5º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 58 |
1º
|
77% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 54 |
2º
|
48.5% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 52 |
3º
|
40% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 46 |
4º
|
51% | |
|
|
6º
|
25 | 42 |
5º
|
38% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 39 |
6º
|
23% | |
|
|
7º
|
25 | 36 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 34 |
8º
|
50% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 24 |
9º
|
74.5% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 18 |
10º
|
82.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
5.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
94% | 98% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0.5% | 2% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zalgiris Vilnius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
HLI
2 - 1
ZAL
44%
25%
31%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2025 |
ZAL
3 - 0
SUD
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
FAS
2 - 0
ZAL
37%
27%
37%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
ZAL
0 - 0
KZA
46%
25%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
DAI
0 - 1
ZAL
28%
26%
47%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
FK Panevėžys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
PAN
0 - 2
KZA
36%
28%
37%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2025 |
DAI
1 - 3
PAN
30%
27%
43%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
PAN
0 - 1
DTE
53%
26%
20%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
TRA
3 - 1
PAN
40%
27%
34%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
PAN
1 - 1
BAN
46%
28%
27%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |