Zalgiris Vilnius vs FK Panevėžys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
26.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
79
1º
3º
1º
41
7º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zalgiris Vilnius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
FKT
1 - 3
ZAL
27%
26%
47%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2024 |
FKT
2 - 1
ZAL
19%
20%
61%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
FAS
1 - 2
ZAL
29%
26%
45%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
ZAL
1 - 0
KZA
43%
25%
32%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
HLI
0 - 0
ZAL
42%
25%
34%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
FK Panevėžys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
PAN
2 - 0
FAS
43%
27%
30%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
PAN
0 - 0
KZA
35%
27%
39%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
PAN
0 - 2
HLI
38%
27%
35%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
BAN
2 - 0
PAN
23%
28%
50%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2024 |
ZAL
2 - 1
PAN
52%
24%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |