Zalgiris Vilnius vs FK Panevėžys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
28.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
75
2º
6º
2º
87
1º
1º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
87 | 87 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zalgiris Vilnius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2023 |
ZAL
2 - 2
GAL
24%
24%
52%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2023 |
ZAL
4 - 0
SUD
67%
21%
12%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2023 |
FCS
1 - 2
ZAL
23%
23%
55%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2023 |
ZAL
0 - 0
FCS
64%
21%
15%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2023 |
ZAL
3 - 0
TRA
70%
20%
11%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
FK Panevėžys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2023 |
HBS
1 - 0
PAN
58%
22%
20%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2023 |
PAN
2 - 0
FAS
52%
25%
23%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2023 |
MIL
0 - 1
PAN
25%
24%
51%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2023 |
PAN
2 - 2
MIL
63%
21%
16%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2023 |
PAN
3 - 0
KZA
46%
27%
28%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |