Zalgiris Vilnius vs Dziugas Telsiai analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.7%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
11.3%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
79
1º
3º
1º
42
1º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zalgiris Vilnius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
ZAL
2 - 0
FKT
63%
23%
15%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
PAN
0 - 0
ZAL
32%
27%
41%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
PAF
3 - 0
ZAL
50%
23%
27%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
ZAL
2 - 1
PAF
43%
25%
32%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
ZAL
1 - 0
VAA
50%
23%
28%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Dziugas Telsiai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
DTE
2 - 2
FAS
24%
26%
50%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
DTE
2 - 3
KZA
19%
25%
56%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
DTE
3 - 3
PAN
22%
27%
51%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
DTE
0 - 2
HLI
18%
24%
58%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
BAN
0 - 0
DTE
46%
26%
28%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |