Zalgiris Vilnius vs Dziugas Telsiai analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.4%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.4%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
9%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
79
1º
3º
1º
42
1º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zalgiris Vilnius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
PAN
1 - 2
ZAL
36%
26%
38%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
ZAL
2 - 0
FKT
65%
21%
14%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
ZAL
3 - 0
FAS
54%
24%
23%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
KZA
0 - 1
ZAL
37%
26%
37%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
ZAL
1 - 3
HLI
51%
24%
25%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Dziugas Telsiai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
DTE
2 - 1
FAS
19%
25%
55%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
KZA
3 - 0
DTE
69%
20%
11%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
DTE
0 - 0
HLI
17%
24%
59%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
BAN
0 - 2
DTE
45%
27%
28%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
DTE
1 - 0
SUD
25%
26%
49%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |