Zalgiris Vilnius vs Dziugas Telsiai analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.7%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.7%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.9%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.7%
6.6%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
75
2º
6º
2º
25
5º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
87 | 87 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zalgiris Vilnius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
ZAL
1 - 1
KZA
52%
23%
25%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
ZAL
4 - 1
NEP
78%
14%
8%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
SHK
4 - 0
ZAL
28%
23%
49%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
ZAL
0 - 0
78%
14%
8%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
ZAL
0 - 1
VEL
58%
23%
19%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Dziugas Telsiai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
BEN
0 - 3
DTE
37%
22%
41%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
TRA
0 - 0
DTE
66%
20%
14%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
DTE
1 - 4
DAI
27%
23%
50%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
NEP
1 - 1
DTE
46%
21%
33%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
DTE
1 - 1
NEV
46%
24%
30%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |