Zalgiris Vilnius vs Dainava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.5%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
18%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
9.5%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
79
1º
3º
1º
45
2º
9º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zalgiris Vilnius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
ZAL
3 - 1
DTE
73%
18%
9%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
PAN
1 - 2
ZAL
36%
26%
38%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
ZAL
2 - 0
FKT
65%
21%
14%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
ZAL
3 - 0
FAS
54%
24%
23%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
KZA
0 - 1
ZAL
37%
26%
37%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Dainava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
FAS
1 - 0
DAI
59%
24%
17%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
KZA
1 - 0
DAI
67%
21%
12%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
HLI
0 - 1
DAI
73%
17%
10%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
DAI
2 - 2
BAN
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
SUD
0 - 1
DAI
44%
28%
28%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |