Intertoto Cup Semi-finals
Global 2-7
Zalgiris Vilnius vs CFR Cluj analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
28.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zalgiris Vilnius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2005 |
ZAL
2 - 3
AIG
51%
25%
24%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2005 |
AIG
1 - 3
ZAL
53%
24%
22%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +2 |
| 09 Jul. 2005 |
DIN
2 - 1
ZAL
30%
27%
43%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2005 |
ZAL
2 - 0
DIN
65%
21%
14%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2005 |
LIS
0 - 1
ZAL
52%
24%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
CFR Cluj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2005 |
ASS
2 - 2
CLU
60%
23%
17%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2005 |
CLU
1 - 1
ASS
33%
26%
42%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2005 |
ATH
1 - 0
CLU
88%
8%
3%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2005 |
CLU
1 - 0
ATH
20%
23%
57%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2005 |
VET
1 - 4
CLU
47%
25%
28%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |