Q. Europa League First Round Final
Global 2-4
Zalgiris Vilnius vs Budapest Honved analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.6%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
19.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zalgiris Vilnius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2019 |
BUD
3 - 1
ZAL
32%
24%
44%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2019 |
ZAL
2 - 1
TRA
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2019 |
PAN
0 - 2
ZAL
12%
21%
67%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2019 |
ZAL
3 - 2
FKP
78%
15%
7%
|
80 | 56 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2019 |
ZAL
3 - 0
STU
74%
17%
9%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Budapest Honved
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2019 |
BUD
3 - 1
ZAL
32%
24%
44%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2019 |
BRA
2 - 1
BUD
30%
25%
45%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2019 |
BUD
1 - 1
MOU
49%
23%
28%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2019 |
ZEN
3 - 0
BUD
75%
16%
9%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2019 |
WAT
0 - 3
BUD
40%
24%
36%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |