Zalgiris Vilnius vs Banga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
9.3%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
79
1º
3º
1º
43
4º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zalgiris Vilnius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
SUD
1 - 1
ZAL
17%
24%
59%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
ZAL
4 - 0
DAI
73%
18%
10%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
ZAL
3 - 1
DTE
73%
18%
9%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
PAN
1 - 2
ZAL
36%
26%
38%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
ZAL
2 - 0
FKT
65%
21%
14%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Banga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
BAN
0 - 1
FAS
24%
26%
50%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
KZA
0 - 3
BAN
71%
20%
10%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | +2 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
HLI
2 - 2
BAN
75%
17%
9%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
FKT
0 - 1
BAN
49%
26%
25%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
BAN
0 - 0
SUD
28%
26%
45%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |