Žalgiris II vs Nevezis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
27.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+64%
-28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
4º
13º
5º
17
5º
15º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 75 |
1º
|
84.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 68 |
2º
|
55% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 62 |
3º
|
39% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 60 |
4º
|
43% | |
|
|
6º
|
31 | 52 |
5º
|
40.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 51 |
6º
|
47% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 37 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 36 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
|
11º
|
17 | 35 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 34 |
10º
|
14% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 32 |
11º
|
10% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 31 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 29 |
13º
|
22.5% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 26 |
14º
|
14.5% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 26 |
15º
|
19.5% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 26 |
16º
|
27.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 94.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 2.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 3% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Žalgiris II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2025 |
BAB
2 - 1
ZAL
63%
20%
17%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2025 |
ZAL
1 - 0
BEN
35%
25%
40%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 2025 |
ZAL
2 - 3
FKT
19%
22%
60%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
LIE
1 - 1
ZAL
19%
21%
60%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2025 |
MIN
1 - 4
ZAL
32%
25%
43%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Nevezis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2025 |
NEV
0 - 1
PAN
61%
21%
18%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2025 |
FHL
1 - 0
NEV
30%
26%
45%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
FKK
2 - 2
NEV
22%
24%
53%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
NEV
1 - 0
BFA
44%
25%
30%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2025 |
FKE
0 - 1
NEV
34%
26%
41%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |