Žalgiris II vs Transinvest Vilnius analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
59.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
24%
0-2
10%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+69%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
4º
13º
6º
45
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
45 | 75 |
1º
|
89% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 68 |
2º
|
62% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 60 |
3º
|
37.5% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 58 |
4º
|
35.5% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 53 |
5º
|
30.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
31 | 52 |
6º
|
33% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 38 |
7º
|
27% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 37 |
8º
|
24% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 34 |
9º
|
17% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 34 |
10º
|
21% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 32 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 28 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 28 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 26 |
14º
|
17.5% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 26 |
15º
|
16.5% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 26 |
16º
|
25.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 89% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
1% | 9.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
99% | 1.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Žalgiris II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
LIE
1 - 1
ZAL
19%
21%
60%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2025 |
MIN
1 - 4
ZAL
32%
25%
43%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
ZAL
2 - 1
SIA
62%
19%
19%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2025 |
PAN
0 - 3
ZAL
31%
24%
45%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2025 |
ZAL
4 - 3
FHL
70%
17%
13%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Transinvest Vilnius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
FKT
2 - 1
MIN
78%
16%
7%
|
74 | 53 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2025 |
SIA
0 - 4
FKT
10%
18%
72%
|
73 | 49 | 24 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
FKT
7 - 0
PAN
78%
15%
7%
|
73 | 49 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
FHL
0 - 5
FKT
22%
25%
53%
|
73 | 44 | 29 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2025 |
FKT
0 - 1
HLI
36%
24%
41%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |