Žalgiris II vs FK Siauliai 2 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.5%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
19.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+69%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
4º
13º
6º
11
7º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 75 |
1º
|
89% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 68 |
2º
|
62% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 60 |
3º
|
37.5% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 58 |
4º
|
35.5% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 53 |
5º
|
30.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
31 | 52 |
6º
|
33% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 38 |
7º
|
27% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 37 |
8º
|
24% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 34 |
9º
|
17% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 34 |
10º
|
21% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 32 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 28 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 28 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
|
16º
|
11 | 26 |
14º
|
17.5% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 26 |
15º
|
16.5% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 26 |
16º
|
25.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
1% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99% | 38% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 17.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 44.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Žalgiris II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2025 |
PAN
0 - 3
ZAL
31%
24%
45%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2025 |
ZAL
4 - 3
FHL
70%
17%
13%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2025 |
FKK
2 - 3
ZAL
33%
25%
42%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
ZAL
4 - 1
BFA
40%
24%
36%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +2 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
FKE
1 - 1
ZAL
52%
23%
25%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
FK Siauliai 2
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2025 |
SIA
4 - 0
MIN
30%
25%
45%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
LIE
3 - 1
SIA
30%
22%
48%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2025 |
PAN
0 - 4
SIA
49%
22%
29%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +2 |
| 09 May. 2025 |
SIA
1 - 1
FHL
55%
22%
23%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
FKK
5 - 2
SIA
41%
23%
36%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |