Žalgiris II vs Ekranas Panevezys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.1%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
17.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+64%
-39%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
4º
13º
5º
11
9º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 75 |
1º
|
88% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 68 |
2º
|
61.5% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 60 |
3º
|
28.5% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 59 |
4º
|
25% | |
|
|
6º
|
31 | 52 |
5º
|
48.5% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 51 |
6º
|
56% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 37 |
7º
|
26% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 36 |
8º
|
19% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 35 |
9º
|
17% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 34 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 32 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 31 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 28 |
13º
|
14% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 26 |
14º
|
12.5% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 26 |
15º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
11 | 26 |
16º
|
25.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 38% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 18.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 43.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Žalgiris II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2025 |
BAB
2 - 1
ZAL
63%
20%
17%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2025 |
ZAL
1 - 0
BEN
35%
25%
40%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 2025 |
ZAL
2 - 3
FKT
19%
22%
60%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
LIE
1 - 1
ZAL
19%
21%
60%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2025 |
MIN
1 - 4
ZAL
32%
25%
43%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Ekranas Panevezys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2025 |
BFA
1 - 0
FKE
56%
22%
22%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2025 |
FKE
0 - 0
LIE
60%
21%
19%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
ATM
5 - 0
FKE
42%
24%
34%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -2 |
| 18 Jun. 2025 |
FKE
0 - 1
NEV
34%
26%
41%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
FKT
3 - 1
FKE
64%
20%
17%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |