Žalgiris II vs Be1 NFA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
39.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+69%
-34%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
4º
13º
6º
13
7º
16º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 75 |
1º
|
89% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 68 |
2º
|
62% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 60 |
3º
|
37.5% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 58 |
4º
|
35.5% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 53 |
5º
|
30.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
31 | 52 |
6º
|
33% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 38 |
7º
|
27% | |
|
|
14º
|
13 | 37 |
8º
|
24% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 34 |
9º
|
17% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 34 |
10º
|
21% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 32 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 28 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 28 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 26 |
14º
|
17.5% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 26 |
15º
|
16.5% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 26 |
16º
|
25.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
1% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99% | 97.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 2% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Žalgiris II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2025 |
ZAL
2 - 3
FKT
19%
22%
60%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
LIE
1 - 1
ZAL
19%
21%
60%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2025 |
MIN
1 - 4
ZAL
32%
25%
43%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
ZAL
2 - 1
SIA
62%
19%
19%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2025 |
PAN
0 - 3
ZAL
31%
24%
45%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Be1 NFA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2025 |
BEN
1 - 1
MIN
64%
22%
14%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
SIA
0 - 2
BEN
18%
24%
59%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2025 |
PAN
2 - 1
BEN
17%
24%
60%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2025 |
FHL
1 - 2
BEN
27%
26%
47%
|
65 | 43 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
BEN
1 - 1
FKK
69%
21%
11%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |