Žalgiris II vs Be1 NFA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
41.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+64%
-36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
9º
16º
15º
56
2º
13º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Žalgiris II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2023 |
ZAL
6 - 0
MCF
29%
23%
48%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
ZAL
2 - 1
BAB
25%
22%
52%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2023 |
ZAL
1 - 6
BFA
36%
24%
40%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -2 |
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
ZAL
2 - 3
FKE
21%
22%
57%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2023 |
FKK
2 - 3
ZAL
32%
23%
45%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Be1 NFA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
BEN
3 - 1
PAN
58%
23%
19%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
GKA
0 - 3
BEN
35%
27%
38%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +2 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
BEN
2 - 1
SIA
65%
20%
15%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
MIN
2 - 1
BEN
32%
27%
41%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
BEN
0 - 5
FKT
49%
25%
25%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |