Žalgiris II vs Atmosfera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
34.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+64%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
4º
13º
5º
18
5º
15º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 75 |
1º
|
88% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 68 |
2º
|
61.5% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 60 |
3º
|
28.5% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 59 |
4º
|
25% | |
|
|
6º
|
31 | 52 |
5º
|
48.5% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 51 |
6º
|
56% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 37 |
7º
|
26% | |
|
|
8º
|
18 | 36 |
8º
|
19% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 35 |
9º
|
17% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 34 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 32 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 31 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 28 |
13º
|
14% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 26 |
14º
|
12.5% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 26 |
15º
|
19.5% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 26 |
16º
|
25.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 94% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 3.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 2.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Žalgiris II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
NEV
1 - 4
ZAL
68%
19%
13%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2025 |
ZAL
0 - 2
FKT
26%
22%
52%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
NEP
2 - 0
ZAL
78%
15%
7%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
ZAL
2 - 2
BAB
20%
22%
59%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
BEN
1 - 1
ZAL
73%
18%
9%
|
48 | 69 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Atmosfera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
ATM
0 - 1
MIN
52%
24%
25%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
TGR
0 - 8
ATM
8%
14%
79%
|
54 | 8 | 46 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
SIA
1 - 2
ATM
43%
25%
33%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
ATM
1 - 4
PAN
58%
22%
20%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
FHL
1 - 1
ATM
26%
24%
51%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | 0 |