Zagorets vs Nesebar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
32.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zagorets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
RAK
0 - 3
ZAG
38%
25%
37%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2015 |
ZAG
5 - 1
EVR
72%
17%
11%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
DIM
1 - 0
ZAG
42%
26%
32%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
ZAG
3 - 0
CHB
30%
26%
44%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | +3 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
GIG
1 - 0
ZAG
52%
24%
24%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Nesebar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
NES
4 - 1
KAR
75%
15%
10%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
NES
1 - 3
LSO
7%
17%
76%
|
37 | 77 | 40 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2015 |
SVI
0 - 1
NES
33%
24%
43%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
NES
2 - 0
SPA
83%
12%
5%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 4
NES
19%
23%
58%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | +1 |