Zagorec vs Vrapče analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.8%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
14.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-61%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zagorec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
IST
1 - 2
ZAG
58%
22%
20%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
ZAG
3 - 0
STU
59%
20%
21%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
RIJ
0 - 0
ZAG
60%
22%
19%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
ZAG
3 - 0
SAM
74%
15%
10%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
DUB
4 - 1
ZAG
44%
26%
31%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Vrapče
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
VRA
0 - 4
NOV
24%
26%
50%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
NKZ
0 - 1
VRA
38%
27%
35%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
VRA
0 - 0
ZAG
14%
22%
64%
|
37 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
TRN
1 - 0
VRA
59%
21%
20%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
DUG
1 - 0
VRA
59%
22%
19%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |