Zagorec vs NK Varazdin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.2%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.5%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.3%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
75.1%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
14.9%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.5%
0-3
11.1%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
15.2%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zagorec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2003 |
ZAG
1 - 0
HNS
11%
18%
70%
|
44 | 67 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2000 |
BJE
4 - 0
ZAG
49%
24%
27%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2000 |
ZAD
4 - 0
ZAG
79%
14%
6%
|
46 | 69 | 23 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2000 |
MOS
4 - 0
ZAG
65%
21%
15%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2000 |
ZAG
1 - 3
POM
20%
25%
55%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
NK Varazdin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
NKV
1 - 1
MAR
67%
19%
13%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
NKV
0 - 2
DZG
39%
26%
35%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2003 |
DVS
3 - 2
NKV
53%
23%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
ZAD
2 - 2
NKV
22%
24%
54%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
HNK
2 - 0
NKV
30%
25%
45%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |