Zagorec vs Jadran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
51.8%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
3º
15º
14º
36
9º
14º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zagorec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
TRN
1 - 0
ZAG
56%
22%
22%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
ZAG
1 - 2
MZL
28%
25%
48%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
NKR
4 - 0
ZAG
77%
15%
8%
|
41 | 59 | 18 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
ZAG
1 - 4
BEL
37%
24%
39%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -2 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
OPA
3 - 0
ZAG
56%
23%
21%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Jadran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
JAP
1 - 0
NKG
51%
22%
27%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
DUG
5 - 3
JAP
35%
25%
40%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
TRN
3 - 3
JAP
37%
24%
38%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
JAP
1 - 0
MZL
39%
25%
36%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
JAP
1 - 2
HNS
14%
20%
66%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | 0 |