Zagłębie Lubin II vs Pogon Siedlce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
31.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
3º
18º
14º
48
8º
18º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
54 | 54 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
48 | 48 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 47 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
42 | 42 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 40 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
38 | 38 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
37 | 37 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
32 | 32 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
31 | 31 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zagłębie Lubin II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2022 |
PZM
2 - 2
ZAG
10%
20%
71%
|
51 | 28 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2022 |
ZAG
3 - 2
STB
80%
13%
7%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
KJG
1 - 3
ZAG
12%
20%
68%
|
50 | 30 | 20 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
ZAG
5 - 1
GOR
77%
15%
8%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 2
ZAG
15%
22%
63%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Pogon Siedlce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
POG
2 - 0
PGM
61%
20%
18%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2022 |
ZNI
5 - 2
POG
29%
24%
46%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
GOR
3 - 2
POG
67%
19%
14%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
ZNI
0 - 1
POG
35%
25%
40%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
POG
3 - 3
WIS
50%
23%
26%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |