Zadar vs Split analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
42.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zadar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
IST
1 - 1
ZAD
49%
27%
24%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2012 |
SLA
3 - 1
ZAD
68%
19%
13%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
ZAD
4 - 1
HNK
41%
28%
32%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2012 |
ZAD
1 - 0
SLA
32%
26%
42%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
DZG
5 - 0
ZAD
80%
14%
6%
|
62 | 84 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2012 |
INT
0 - 2
SPL
33%
27%
40%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
SPL
2 - 1
IST
61%
23%
16%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
HNK
2 - 1
SPL
36%
28%
36%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
SPL
1 - 0
DZG
25%
26%
49%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
SLA
2 - 2
SPL
56%
23%
20%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |