Zadar vs Split analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
35%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zadar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2010 |
HDR
1 - 4
ZAD
39%
27%
34%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2010 |
INT
1 - 0
ZAD
54%
24%
23%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
ZAD
1 - 4
HNS
33%
27%
40%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
OSI
3 - 2
ZAD
61%
23%
17%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
ZAD
2 - 0
IST
50%
26%
23%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
SPL
1 - 1
INT
54%
24%
22%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
HNS
3 - 0
SPL
45%
28%
27%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
SPL
1 - 0
OSI
43%
26%
31%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
IST
0 - 1
SPL
35%
28%
37%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
SPL
1 - 0
LOK
51%
25%
24%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |