Zadar vs NK Varazdin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.2%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
22%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zadar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
RIJ
0 - 1
ZAD
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
ZAD
2 - 1
INT
44%
27%
29%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
ZAD
0 - 1
HNS
39%
27%
34%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2012 |
LOK
3 - 0
ZAD
50%
26%
23%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
HKS
1 - 0
ZAD
73%
17%
10%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
NK Varazdin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
SPL
2 - 2
NKV
72%
18%
10%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
NKV
2 - 3
ZAG
39%
26%
36%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
IST
2 - 1
NKV
50%
26%
24%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2012 |
NKV
0 - 3
RIJ
39%
27%
35%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
NKV
2 - 1
HNS
41%
26%
33%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |