Zadar vs HNK Cibalia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
31.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zadar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2012 |
ZAD
1 - 0
SLA
32%
26%
42%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
DZG
5 - 0
ZAD
80%
14%
6%
|
62 | 84 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
ZAD
1 - 0
SLA
28%
28%
44%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
HKS
3 - 0
ZAD
77%
16%
7%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2012 |
DZG
2 - 3
ZAD
84%
12%
4%
|
60 | 84 | 24 | +2 |
Matches
HNK Cibalia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2012 |
HNK
1 - 1
OSI
43%
26%
32%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
HNK
2 - 1
SPL
36%
28%
36%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
IST
3 - 0
HNK
42%
29%
28%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
INT
0 - 0
HNK
42%
27%
30%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2012 |
HNK
1 - 0
HNG
62%
22%
17%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | +1 |