Zacatepec vs Orizaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.8%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
17.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zacatepec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
COB
0 - 1
CAÑ
49%
23%
27%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2004 |
CAÑ
3 - 3
MEX
62%
21%
17%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2004 |
MER
3 - 1
CAÑ
36%
25%
39%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
CAÑ
4 - 3
TOR
32%
26%
43%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
ZAP
1 - 0
CAÑ
34%
25%
42%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Orizaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
ORI
1 - 3
ALT
57%
23%
20%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2004 |
UAT
1 - 2
ORI
55%
23%
22%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2004 |
ORI
0 - 0
CAO
51%
23%
26%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2004 |
LOB
0 - 3
ORI
41%
26%
33%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2004 |
ORI
2 - 2
TRO
59%
22%
19%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |