Zacatepec vs Acapulco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.1%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
10.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zacatepec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
CAÑ
4 - 2
ORI
62%
21%
17%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
COB
0 - 1
CAÑ
49%
23%
27%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2004 |
CAÑ
3 - 3
MEX
62%
21%
17%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2004 |
MER
3 - 1
CAÑ
36%
25%
39%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
CAÑ
4 - 3
TOR
32%
26%
43%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Acapulco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
UAT
2 - 0
ACA
62%
21%
17%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
ACA
1 - 2
CAO
45%
24%
31%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2004 |
LOB
2 - 0
ACA
42%
25%
33%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2004 |
ACA
0 - 3
TAB
36%
25%
39%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
TIG
2 - 2
ACA
60%
22%
19%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |