CA Zacatepec vs Lobos ULMX analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.7%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
14.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
2º
12º
6º
13
3º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
29 | 27 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 25 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
23 | 22 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 20 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 18 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
19 | 18 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 16 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
13 | 12 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 12 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 6 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
5 | 5 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Zacatepec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
IRA
2 - 1
ZAC
61%
24%
15%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
ZAC
2 - 0
COL
65%
20%
15%
|
60 | 35 | 25 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2025 |
COR
1 - 2
ZAC
27%
24%
49%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
ZAC
4 - 0
AGU
40%
25%
34%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
REB
0 - 1
ZAC
46%
25%
29%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Lobos ULMX
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
LUL
1 - 2
ADP
28%
26%
46%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
GAV
2 - 2
LUL
75%
17%
8%
|
44 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2025 |
LUL
2 - 1
CAN
35%
24%
41%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +2 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
LUL
1 - 1
IRA
6%
15%
79%
|
41 | 75 | 34 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
COL
1 - 0
LUL
32%
24%
44%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | -1 |