Zabbar St. Patrick vs Birzebbuga St. Peters analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
30.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zabbar St. Patrick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
ZAB
1 - 0
PIE
26%
25%
49%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
SGC
0 - 0
ZAB
58%
22%
21%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2012 |
RAB
1 - 2
ZAB
70%
19%
11%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2012 |
ZAB
1 - 2
NAX
30%
25%
45%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
ZEJ
4 - 0
ZAB
70%
19%
11%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Birzebbuga St. Peters
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
BIR
3 - 1
ZEJ
27%
26%
47%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2012 |
PIE
4 - 3
BIR
67%
19%
14%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
BIR
0 - 1
LIJ
42%
25%
34%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
SGC
0 - 2
BIR
57%
22%
21%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +3 |
| 10 Feb. 2012 |
BIR
2 - 2
SAI
39%
25%
36%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -1 |