Yverdon vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
54.4%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
66
1º
7º
1º
57
2º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yverdon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
SCH
4 - 1
YVE
48%
23%
29%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
LAU
3 - 2
YVE
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
YVE
0 - 1
BEL
45%
25%
31%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
SCH
1 - 2
YVE
48%
25%
27%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
BAV
1 - 3
YVE
16%
20%
65%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
FCL
6 - 0
FCA
58%
21%
21%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
FCA
1 - 3
BAS
22%
23%
55%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
SCH
0 - 2
FCA
32%
24%
44%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
FCA
2 - 1
WIL
58%
22%
21%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
FCA
3 - 3
STA
58%
22%
19%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |