Yverdon vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.1%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
65.1%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
20%
0-3
8%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.9%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yverdon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2005 |
NEX
4 - 0
YVE
67%
20%
13%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2005 |
YVE
0 - 3
YOB
19%
23%
57%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2005 |
GCZ
3 - 2
YVE
79%
14%
7%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2005 |
YVE
4 - 1
YFJ
68%
20%
13%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2005 |
YVE
1 - 1
FCV
42%
26%
32%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2005 |
BAS
2 - 1
ZUR
61%
20%
19%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2005 |
THU
3 - 0
BAS
38%
25%
37%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2005 |
BAS
1 - 0
SCH
82%
12%
6%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2005 |
BAS
2 - 0
NEX
77%
15%
9%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2005 |
GCZ
4 - 1
BAS
37%
25%
38%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |