Yupanqui vs Def. Unidos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
34.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yupanqui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
PUE
2 - 5
YUP
21%
24%
55%
|
41 | 23 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2007 |
YUP
0 - 1
VIC
34%
26%
41%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -2 |
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
CLA
0 - 1
YUP
45%
25%
30%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +2 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
YUP
1 - 1
CES
64%
20%
15%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
LUG
0 - 3
YUP
41%
25%
33%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Def. Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
CAD
1 - 1
CES
72%
18%
10%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
UAI
1 - 0
CAD
46%
25%
30%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
CAD
0 - 0
RIE
51%
24%
25%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
DPA
1 - 0
CAD
45%
25%
30%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
CAD
2 - 1
ARQ
55%
23%
22%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |