Yupanqui vs CA Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
17.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yupanqui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
POR
1 - 1
YUP
53%
24%
24%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2014 |
YUP
0 - 2
ALE
36%
27%
37%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -2 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
CAÑ
3 - 1
YUP
39%
28%
33%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -2 |
| 27 Aug. 2014 |
YUP
0 - 0
CLA
50%
24%
26%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
SBA
2 - 0
YUP
40%
26%
35%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
CA Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
LUG
0 - 4
POR
43%
28%
30%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
LUG
0 - 1
CBA
60%
23%
17%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | -3 |
| 08 Sep. 2014 |
PUE
6 - 2
LUG
40%
27%
33%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | -3 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
ALE
0 - 0
LUG
59%
24%
16%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -2 |
| 20 Aug. 2014 |
LUG
2 - 2
CAÑ
45%
28%
28%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |