Yunnan Yukun vs Shandong Taishan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.5%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
61.2%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
6º
16º
8º
25
1º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 65 |
1º
|
36.5% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 62 |
2º
|
33% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 61 |
3º
|
27.5% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 58 |
4º
|
41% | |
|
|
6º
|
25 | 51 |
5º
|
46.5% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 46 |
6º
|
33.5% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 44 |
7º
|
26% | |
|
|
10º
|
22 | 38 |
8º
|
21.5% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 38 |
9º
|
26.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 37 |
10º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 35 |
11º
|
26% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 32 |
12º
|
26% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 29 |
13º
|
33% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 25 |
14º
|
33.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 23 |
15º
|
32% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 20 |
16º
|
63.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
0% | 1% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 3.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 95.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yunnan Yukun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2025 |
DAL
3 - 2
YUN
33%
27%
41%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2025 |
YUN
2 - 3
SHA
20%
22%
57%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
CHA
0 - 0
YUN
47%
26%
28%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2025 |
CBC
1 - 1
YUN
75%
15%
10%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
WFC
3 - 1
YUN
50%
25%
25%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Shandong Taishan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2025 |
SHA
1 - 1
QIN
79%
15%
7%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
SHA
0 - 1
SHA
50%
24%
26%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
BEI
6 - 1
SHA
44%
23%
33%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2025 |
QYI
1 - 5
SHA
21%
23%
56%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2025 |
SHA
4 - 0
SJF
78%
16%
7%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |