Yunnan Yukun vs Dalian Yingbo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.7%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
23.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
1º
6º
1º
47
1º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
3º
|
45 | 18 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
47 | 16 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
49 | 13 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 13 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 10 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 8 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 7 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 4 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yunnan Yukun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
QFC
1 - 1
YUN
57%
24%
19%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
YUN
2 - 0
HSF
37%
22%
40%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +2 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
JIA
0 - 3
YUN
24%
21%
55%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
YUN
1 - 1
GUA
67%
17%
15%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
SSP
1 - 6
YUN
72%
16%
13%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Dalian Yingbo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
DAL
2 - 0
JIA
69%
17%
14%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
DAL
2 - 0
BIT
25%
21%
54%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | +3 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
QFC
1 - 0
DAL
64%
22%
14%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
DAL
1 - 1
ZQF
24%
21%
55%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
DAL
1 - 0
TTF
13%
21%
65%
|
30 | 53 | 23 | +1 |